Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-26 12.264249 14.299448 16.514535 19.097636 22.020002 25.216357 28.969425
2025-11-02 8.586396 11.302440 14.565290 18.740026 23.902374 30.037106 37.835344
2025-11-09 6.421132 9.333492 13.121139 18.331938 25.226838 33.940969 45.674967
2025-11-16 4.971606 7.881664 11.934379 17.861513 26.155000 37.172457 52.703807
2025-11-23 3.859236 6.633902 10.749192 17.109307 26.460183 39.433672 58.456806
2025-11-30 3.360434 6.185380 10.601405 17.742537 28.670046 44.364781 68.102716
2025-12-07 2.961328 5.810108 10.484896 18.362497 30.857522 49.363134 78.125269
2025-12-14 2.452556 5.147624 9.800277 17.980518 31.437884 51.993713 84.821306
2025-12-21 2.023153 4.540666 9.108847 17.477574 31.733910 54.155412 90.885110
2025-12-28 1.858518 4.403502 9.209480 18.304586 34.226748 59.840876 102.628968
2026-01-04 1.682787 4.209968 9.175366 18.877095 36.318229 64.995349 113.807108
2026-01-11 1.470081 3.897087 8.869289 18.913230 37.471424 68.675390 122.811625
2026-01-18 1.267822 3.584750 8.555202 18.966115 38.778863 72.897655 133.301750
2026-01-25 1.061897 3.221639 8.091138 18.692159 39.504430 76.250064 142.685568
2026-02-01 0.881284 2.874650 7.601923 18.299380 39.958701 79.148488 151.468894
2026-02-08 0.726928 2.553529 7.111879 17.832207 40.206835 81.670438 159.720318
2026-02-15 0.583554 2.219737 6.529497 17.081502 39.806434 82.962886 165.855135
2026-02-22 0.533357 2.149038 6.572203 17.713933 42.240599 89.616274 181.887311
2026-03-01 0.487805 2.080585 6.608734 18.333053 44.691386 96.437264 198.561269
2026-03-08 0.407383 1.871100 6.239171 17.951603 44.991322 99.163223 207.850167
2026-03-15 0.335750 1.666722 5.843159 17.449355 44.973178 101.250603 216.034203
2026-03-22 0.315786 1.649923 5.975286 18.275224 47.948817 109.411939 236.081452
2026-03-29 0.289909 1.601643 6.007006 18.846947 50.393459 116.636770 254.661342